Prospect Theory is the most famous theory in behavioral economics. It believes that people are not in a straight line when making decisions, but will be affected by the current framework . When people feel that they are currently gaining, they will become more conservative and hope to be successful; and when people feel that they are currently losing, they will become more inclined to choose higher-risk options, hoping to escape the current situation of losing. When asked to choose.
Even though (a) math The job email list upper expected value is lower than (b). But when asked to choose (a) [guaranteed loss of 240 yuan] or (b) [25% loss of 1000 but 75% loss of 0], 87% would choose (b), even though (b) mathematically expected value ratio (a) )Low. This is what is special about the human heart. Photo 1_ Prospect Theory vs. Taipei Mayoral Election Where Political Parties Disapprove Photo Credit: Wang Hongen After the DPP officially nominated Chen Shizhong, Minister Chen Shizhong's performance during the anti-epidemic period also officially scored voters through ballots.
Chen Shizhong's speech in the hearts of voters in the past has nothing to do with the comparison of unity and independence, but mostly related to the epidemic, so the public will also rate it accordingly. Because the candidate for the mayor of Liudu is in the DPP, Tsai Ing-wen has the decision-making power, so it is conceivable that Tsai Ing-wen will use his prestige in the election of the mayor of this county for the last time, bind with Chen Shizhong and spread to candidates in other counties and cities people.